What We Know Early On

This past Sunday, there was an attempted mass shooting at Lakewood Church in Houston, TX. Lakewood Church is known for being the home church of Joel Osteen. 

Facts can be difficult to obtain early on, so I generally avoid forming opinions on situations such as this until at least three days have passed. Much gets circulated, and that includes less than reliable information. Here are some early observations, and I have included a comment about whether each fact is typical, or atypical in parentheses; and a short elaboration on each factor. 

The Shooter was a middle-aged transgender person (typical). 

97% of mass shooters are male. On this blog, Trannies are treated as male - so they can be privileged. Recent trannies who have conducted or attempted mass casualty events:

• Lakewood (this one)
• Iowa High School
• Nashville Covenant
• Colorado Springs
• Denver
• Aberdeen

The shooter was known to Law Enforcement

Multiple arrests. Also, neighbors to the church had been raising alarms over the actions of this person for quite some time. 

The Shooter has links to mental illness (typical). 

Mass shooters have a known link to SSRI "medications," and other forms of mental illness. As there is a clear link between transgenderism and mental illness, this cannot be ignored. 

The shooter started shooting with a long gun (typical)

The vast majority of mass casualty events start with a long gun. 

The shooter has ties to Radical Islam (typical)

The shooter had "Free Palestine" written on one of the firearms recovered. There is almost always a link to either mental illness, or radical Islam. 

The shooter was a leftwing person (typical)

The shooter has been linked to being a Bernie Sanders supporter. If we could somehow prevent extreme leftists from obtaining firearms, mass shootings would disappear. 

The church was attacked in the entryway (typical)

This was because there were metal detectors the killer would have had to navigate. 

Church shootings tend to start in the parking lot and/or entryway. 

The shooter was met with force early on, and hence, there were only 2 casualties - both wounded (typical). 

When met with force, mass shooters tend to cause fewer than 10 casualties, with 3 casualties being the mean (average). When people wait for police to respond, the expected number of casualties goes way up - average of 27. 

The shooter has an extensive arrest history and might be an illegal immigrant. (typical)

If this person were in the US legally, it would be all over the news. Had they purchased the gun legally, it would be all over the news. 

Police took roughly 15 minutes to arrive (typical). 
This is so close to the national average, that there really isn't much to add. 

The defenders were an off-duty law enforcement (typical with caveat). 
Defenders tend to be civilians and/or off duty police officers. This just depends directly on who is there. There are conflicting reports as to whether it was one defender or two.

There was no cross fire (typical)

EVERYONE asks me about training the entire church body when it is known that many in the church carry - the purpose is to avoid cross fire. Cross Fire when civilians respond has never happened in a mass casualty event. Uniformed police responses usually include cross fire. Police have a 38% hit ratio. One in three innocent people struck by police cross fire are fellow uniformed officers! 

The defender engaged with a handgun (typical)

In a mass killer event, statistics indicate there will be a casualty every 10 seconds. You do not have time to go to your car and get a rifle. You must respond with the pistol you are carrying. 

It is unknown at this time whether the defender(s) spent time in jail that night. If they are truly off duty or undercover officers, then they likely did not spend time in jail. If they were civilians, they likely spent time in jail that night. 92% of citizens involved in a defensive shooting go to jail that evening.