Monday, November 3, 2014

How I Voted & Predictions

Tomorrow is the Nov. 4th election. I voted on Friday, October 17. Here's the breakdown of how I voted, why, and my predictions on each.

Governor
I voted for Shaun Crowell.
No way I'd vote for Haslam. Not gonna vote Democrat, either. Crowell is a solid Constitution party candidate, and I am happy to have voted for him.
Prediction: Haslam with approximately 60%+ of the vote.

US Senate
I voted for Joshua James (Libertarian) for Senate.
No way I would vote for the liberal (Lamar!) nor the slightly-to-the-right-of-Lamar! Gordon Ball.
Prediction: Lamar! wins this one with a high-50's percentage (57%-58%).

US Congress
I voted for Mike Winton for Congress.
Diane Black is not my preference, too "squishy" (as my wife puts it) on key topics.
Prediction: Black wins with ~60% of the vote.

State Senate
I voted for incumbent Mae Beavers.
Beavers is one of only two incumbents to earn my vote, and the only person on the ballot with an (R) beside her name to do so. Beaver represents my wishes on the state level in over 90% of the thins that matter, so I was happy to vote for her.
Prediction: Beavers wins with ~70% of the vote.

State House
I wrote in a name for State Representative.
Susan Lynn is just another Haslam crony. She does not represent my interests, nor those of the majority of Wilson county. No way I'm voting for Democrat Jesse McLevain - his Facebook page (one of the rare places to find out anything about him) indicates he is very liberal (read: Socialist).
Prediction: Susan Lynn wins with about 60% of the vote.

City Council
I voted for my friend, James Maness, who did everything he said he would in his initial term .
Maness is running unopposed.
Prediction: James Maness with 80%+ of the vote. He might even reach the high 90's.

Wine referendum 
I voted to allow.
The City of Mount Juliet has a referendum to allow large stores to sell wine. I do not drink wine with any frequency, and have never purchased it. However, free market and all dictates that any store should be allowed to sell it, not just the friends of the mayor or campaign contributors. (Note: I am not saying the current mayor had a dog in this fight, just making a generalized statement).
Prediction: I think the referendum passes with a vote of about 60%.

Amendment 1
I voted Yes.
The amendment would allow the state legislature to enact laws regarding abortion. As this is not a US Constitutional issue, this is, by definition, something that should be handled on the state level according to the founders.
Prediction: Amendment passes with a vote of 55% - 57%.

Amendment 2
I voted No.
The amendment would give the governor the right to appoint judges. It is my feeling that if you have authority, you should face elections and the voters.
Prediction: I think the amendment will pass (Yes vote) with 51% - 53% of the vote. I do not think that many voters will vote for it, however (draw your own conclusions as to what I'm suggesting).

Amendment 3
I voted Yes.
This amendment would prohibit the state legislature from being able to enact an income tax.
Prediction: this amendment passes with over 60% of the vote.

Amendment 4
I voted Yes.
This amendment would would empower the state legislature to authorize lotteries via a two-thirds vote for annual events that benefit 501(c)(3) and 501(c)(19) organizations. Currently, the legislature may authorize lotteries via a two-thirds vote for 501(c)(3) organizations, but not 501(c)(19) organizations.
Prediction: The amendment passes with a vote margin of 55%-57%.


How did you (will you) vote?

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