How Did I Do?

By -

"If I ever go to Vegas, you're coming with me."
- Red Bank, TN Mayor John Roberts
To me, on election night as I walked him through the states and the votes for Trump.
Overall,  my predictions went pretty well...

My predictions, written out last week, and blogged Monday, were -

1. State Representative, District 57
Susan Lynn (R) x Trisha Farmer (D)
I voted - write in candidate.
Prediction: Susan Lynn wins with around 70% of the vote.
Actual: Susan Lynn wins with 69% of the vote.

2. Mt. Juliet Mayor
Jim Bradshaw x Ed Hagerty
Both lean heavily R.
I voted - Bradshaw (would be fine with either man)
Prediction: Hagerty with around 55% of the vote.
Actual: Hagerty wins with 55% of the vote.

3. US Congress, Tennessee District 6
Diane Black (R) x David Kent (D) x David Ross (L)
I voted - David Ross
Prediction: Black with about 60% of the vote.
Actual: Black wins with 71% of the vote.

4. US President
Trump (R) x Clinton (D)
I voted - Trump
Prediction: Trump wins Tennessee with about 60% of the vote.
Trump wins the White House with over 300 electoral votes.
Actual: Trump wins with 306 Electoral Votes.
Trump wins Tennessee with 61% of the vote.



Summary - I missed the exact percentage by which Black would win to the tune of about 10%. That's a mea culpa. I overestimated dissatisfaction with her being a RINO.

Other than that, it was on the money. How, you ask? I have good sources. For local races, I fall back on historical voting records. Lynn got about the same as she (or the Republican holding that office) always gets. Black got a bit more. Haggerty was a gut instinct, based on talk around town.

My sources on the national level... well, now, that's another blog post for you!



Posted via Blogaway

Comments

Post a Comment

Your comment will be displayed after approval.
Approval depends on what you say and how you say it.

Popular posts from this blog

Do not Get your Ham License.

By -
Image
This author has many preppers for friends, due to obvious reasons . One of the topics that comes up often is comms in an emergency situation. I have decided the hill I will stop on is local comms - as can be had via normal handheld walkies or similar. To get more range, ham radio is about the only civilian option, and I will NOT be going that way.  It is a protest. And this is why .  From the tweets : "I hate to be discouraging, but I must remind everyone that even in a time of emergency, unlicensed operation is against FCC regulations. I know that personally I've received a few tattle-telling messages from hams over the past few days who have reported to me people sharing life-saving information over the radio without a license.  This is a constant reminder that for the overwhelming majority of the ham radio hobby, there is NO emergency so severe that unlicensed operation will be accepted. Sure, net control for formal nets can operate under emergency rules, but for most ...
Read more

The Breed of Peace

By -
Image
Reposted from Social Media: By Robyn Eshelby-Theart. ====== I'm a qualified dog behaviourist. Not only that, but I spend my entire life working with dogs. It's literally my 24/7/365 as, beyond being a behaviourist, I have a doggy daycare and boarding facility. My job is dogs. Tonight I will share something with you. And for the sake of all innocent animals, I hope that you read it. PIT BULLS ARE NOT PACK DOGS. PIT BULLS ARE NOT MULTI-PET-HOME DOGS.   Now before everyone launches into the "I know a nice pit bull who nurses kittens and walks around with a duckling on his shoulder" stories... Everyone knows a nice pit bull. If everyone here was to post their nice Pitbull story, within a minute or two people who truly understand the breed would refer 100+ pit bulls currently sitting in rescue within 50km of Fourways, with profiles on social media, whose only crime was being true to their breed design. Hundreds of Pit bulls around the country, possibly thousands in fact, ...
Read more